As France wraps up its warmest October on record, we are beginning to wonder about the weather forecast for this winter. Thanks to increasingly powerful tools, Météo France has established different forecast scenarios.
Thus, the institution estimates the probability of a colder winter than normal for the season at 20% and a compliant winter at 50%. What reinforces the risks of electrical load shedding while production is still struggling to recover its nominal levels? Because when it’s cold, 45% of the electricity demand comes from heating. “Any scenario where it’s cold is necessarily the bad scenario, summarizes Nicolas Goldberg on BFMTV. So, we will have to see what it gives to the means of production”.
For this specialist in energy issues from Columbus Consulting, “if it is cold in January, we will have to see how cold it is, but we could have Ecowatt alerts that tell us, beware, in certain time slots, we will have to be careful with your consumption of what Otherwise we could have power cuts, ”he explains this Wednesday on BFMTV.
The importance of the sobriety plan
Specifically, the expert estimates that “from 2 degrees below the average, we already begin to have a risk, with activations of the Ecowatt device that could be done from one to three times in the period.”
Remember that this plan invites the French, companies and administrations to reduce their energy consumption by 10%.
“If the plan works, we would be between zero and one activation of Ecowatt for a winter of 2 to 3 degrees below average and one to three activations if it is very cold”, continues this expert. We will have to see what the plan gives. sobriety. If it’s enforced, the number of days there could be outages could be zero.”
Source: BFM TV
