An important attack with important consequences. Around 200 Israeli planes reached military and nuclear sites in Iran from night to Friday, moving Teherant and the Natanz Uranium enrichment factory.
This operation highlighted the “vulnerability of the Iranian defense,” Jean-Yves Le Drian continued, who has also been cautious about the ability of the Iranian response. “Will there be any consequence? At the moment, we are in the unknown,” he said only a few hours after the Israeli attack.
A ballistic arsenal
With respect to the real military capabilities of Iran, caution is in order. However, it is possible to affirm that Israel has much more important and efficient means that Iran, which has been under international sanctions and an embargo for decades, and therefore has not been able to carry out the mass development of its defense industry.
On the contrary, Israel is one of the largest countries exporting countries and is in the eighth position in the classification carried out by the International Institute of Peace and Research of Stockholm (SIPRI) by 2024.
According to a report by the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) on the superiority of the air, “the two -step demonstration of the Israeli Air Force in April and October 2024, for example, made possible neutralize all the [systèmes sol-air S-300] Long Iranian range in just two air attack operations. “
A declassified document of the American agency of the Defense Intelligence Agency published in 2019 reports that, despite Iran’s inability to make purchases abroad to modernize its military capabilities, the country “has massively invested in its infrastructure, its equipment and its experience to develop and produce ballistic missiles and cruise missiles increasingly efficient.”
Old aircraft but high performance drones
Iranian air capabilities are completely archeic: the Aldiluvians of F-4 Phantom would rub their shoulders with F-5 Tiger, F-14 and MIG-29 … or also MIRAGE F1, according to the data compiled by Flightglobal. Airplanes cannot hit the Israeli territory.
On the other hand, what is the strength of the Iranian fleet are the drones, an area in which Iran has progressed considerably in recent years: the Shahed drone is the most spoken example. A sign that their actions are considered convincing, Russia has launched its production under license and uses them in the war in Ukraine.
The development and production of low -cost weapons represent “an important strategic break in the field of the long -range strike”, it can be read in a report by the French Institute of International Relations (IFIRI) on aerial superiority.
In addition to the reduced cost and the relative ease of manufacturing, the interest of these drones is also their ability to fly at low altitude, which allows them to escape the radars.
Missiles and drones in battle order
All military interest in Iran lies in the combination of its media. According to IFRI’s study, “access to these three types of weapons, ballistics, cruise and long -term rustic attack, by geopolitical actors, are increasingly disinhibited in the use of force, constitutes a breakup (…).
In fact, it is this strategy that applied Iran during the attack of April 13, 2024, an operation in the almost null military evaluation, but notable at the symbolic level: the country launched an operation with Israel as a goal, and even if the anti-vion defense intercepted “almost the entire fire”, according to AFP, this operation “demonstrated the capacity” of Iran to the adverse defenses, Analzes Ifri.
A coastal defense in the Renaissance process
According to the New York Times, Iran is also renewing its maritime and coastal abilities, with the construction of a fleet of fast stars and small submarines “capable of disturbing maritime traffic and the global energy supply” transiting through the very strategic narrow of Ormuz and the Persian Gulf. The country would also have made the submarine acquisition of North Korea.
On the other hand, attempts to launch programs of large warships, “gave mixed results,” said The New York Times, as well as the manufacture of light vehicles.
Source: BFM TV
