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Europeans take 15% of customs and Americans less than 1%: are they where they promised “melodies” and “counterparts” for weeks?

At first, the agreement is unbalanced. While the union swallows a bitter pill, consideration of the United States is not required. In practice, the EU will seek to expand the list of exempt goods and cannot necessarily pay all its commitments.

In the American state agreement, many have already been said, but very little about the pastor’s response to the pastor. And for a good reason, there is none. “A reprisal measure is not planned, confirms Eric Dor, director of Economic Studies in the IESEG. This is the trap of this quite unequal agreement.”

And, in fact, despite the shock treatment applied to the European Union (raising customs duties to 15%, the commitment to buy energy products and indicate additional investments), no retaliation countermeasures for the United States are provided. According to analysts, the European Union has chosen the path of appeasement.

But according to the teacher in the IESEG, the explanation of this change is also derived in a divided European Union, with some supporters of a hard line and others such as the eastern countries that still depend on the transatlantic alliance for their safety that preferred negotiation.

There are no rates of rates applicable to European products … but a decrease

Despite the increase in the rights applicable to European products, customs tariffs applicable to imported American products should not increase. The press release of the Presidency of the European Union does not mention a possible tax recovery applicable to US products.

The average rate applicable to US products ranged around 3% details of Bruno de Moura Fernandes, director of macroeconomic research in COFACE.

Therefore, applied rates should not increase … worse, they could even decrease under the “zero rate for zero” applied to exemptions. According to Bloomberg’s note, the average rate of customs duties applied by union in American products should go below 1%.

An ironic opposite, although it was not long ago, after the first save thrown by Donald Trump threatened the EU with customs duties about steel and aluminum, the European Union had announced the counter-cuento in reprisals, pointing in soybeans or birds of birds. Mirror rights had also been mentioned.

Therefore, the idea is abandoned, as if 15% of the rights were ultimately an acceptable threshold.

“It is also necessary to take into account that the import chain is long, analyzes Bruno de Moura Fernandes. American wholesalers and retailers could take over 80% of customs tasks, either by transferring them to the consumer, either cutting their margin. Therefore, the increase in rights is not so favorable for them.”

Retaliation measures will be abandoned

The European Union will also increase the retaliation measures they had just developed. However, it was last week … On July 23, the European Union adopted a countermeated package: up to 100 billion wells were affected. In detail, in case of excessive customs tariffs, the EU had provided additional customs tariffs from a rate of up to 30 % of 93 billion euros in European imports of goods in the United States. In response to the war against steel and aluminum caused by Donald Trump, the agreement also provided the ban, as of September 7, 2025, from the export to the United States of waste and steel and aluminum waste. With the agreement sealed in Scotland, everything is stored in the closet.

The EU will try to expand the list of exempt goods

But in reality, the European Union, weakened but not defeated, will play another score. That of the defense of their categorical interests. As Bruno de Moura Fernandes points out, the EU will continue to negotiate the list of exemptions.

For the pharmaceutical sector, the battle promises to be more dangerous, because they are conditioned to the completion of the research carried out on the American side. The publication of the final exemption list must take place at the end of the week.

The EU cannot respect its additional commitments

Beyond the increase in unilateral customs tasks, the EU would also have voluntarily put other plates on the feet. In fact, two commitments are on the agenda: a volume of hydrocarbon shopping and nuclear fuel and the arrow of 600 billion additional investments, particularly towards defense and safety. But in practice, analysts believe that these commitments are very ambitious, and that they do not force the European Union.

An unattered ratification

And the Mass is not yet said. “The Commission has received a mandate to negotiate, but the agreement must still be backed by the member states to the majority.

And in fact it is a qualified majority that must be found. With such a bad press, the ratification is not acquired. It could reach the length, such as the validation of other commercial agreements and perhaps exceed the duration of Trump’s mandate.

On the French side, supporters of a hard line, the pill is difficult to swallow. The representatives of the economic sectors will be received on Wednesday in Bercy to discuss the consequences of the USA-OE agreement. Without a doubt, the continuation of the negotiations and the possibilities of softening the treatment reserved for the Union will be in the menu.

Author: Marine Landau
Source: BFM TV

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