The lines lead to move. Prime Minister François Bayrou presented his budget project at the beginning of the summer by 2026, which provides almost 44 billion euros in savings. But this first draft should evolve, because the government does not have the majority in the National Assembly, which allows it to adopt its budget as it is. While the prime minister will speak on Monday, August 25, in the afternoon, the balance of power and the negotiations have already begun.
In this context, different scenarios are coming. If the deputies of the national demonstration decided not to censor the government, they could adopt a financial bill by 2026. But negotiations for the 2025 budget have left traces and François Bayrou knows that negotiating with the RN is not easy.
Concessions to the Socialist Party?
For the Government, another option is possible: hopes to convince the Socialist Party not to vote for censorship. But nothing says that Olivier Faure’s party will be able to relive in endless negotiations, as for the previous finance bill.
The Socialists presented their hairlessness on Monday and wishes to reduce the economies offered by the Government to half. The cursor has not yet been arrested definitely, but they will offer between 20 and 30 billion euros in savings, instead of the more than 43 billion planned. Out of discussion, especially for them Extract two vacations. There is no doubt to establish a white year. If the government releases the ballast, how many savings should they give up?
Vacation
At the moment, the negotiations are not there, but the measure that most irritates the oppositions (and the French) is the abolition of two vacations. For the Socialists, out of discussion to deprive the French on Easter Monday and May 8. And the position is significantly the same in the RN. Thus, François Bayrou could calm the spirits if he decided to return to this proposal.
According to the cost of the government, the abolition of Easter Monday and May 8 could bring 4,200 million euros, or almost 10% of the almost 44 billion expected by the Government. So many savings to which the measure was abandoned. If François Bayrou decides to cut the pear in half and eliminate only one of the two vacations, one might think that the cost would be 2.1 billion euros.
White year
Socialists also oppose the proposal of the “White Year”. This measure provides for the freezing of public spending for a year. This means that state spending will not increase compared to last year. Similarly, the level of social benefits (RSA, pensions, apply …) will not improve according to inflation. If the Bayroun government resigned from it, it would also renounce 7.1 billion savings.
It should be noted that as well as these less savings, the socialists want to put the richest to contribute to those who contribute A measurement of the Zucman Tax typeIt is supposed to bring 15 billion euros.
Retirement retirement
If the government has the non -censorship of the RN, it will have to meet some of its requirements. Deputy RN Julien Odoul, for example, called on Monday morning in Franceinfo to “not write in retirees.”
The draft of François Bayrou budget includes in particular the abolition of tax reduction of 10% of which retirees benefit (replaced by a reduction of 2,000 euros). The reform of this fiscal advantage for the “professional rates” would save around one billion euros “according to Public Accounts Minister Amélie de Montchalin.
Source: BFM TV
