June 9, 2024, a few minutes after the results of the European elections. From the Elysée, Emmanuel Macron has been talking. The speech, which had not been announced, will make France disbelief.
“You had today to vote for European elections, in continental France, in our foreigner, as abroad. The main teaching is clear: it is not a good result for the parties that defend Europe, including that of the presidential majority,” the head of state begins.
Then, a few sentences later, Emmanuel Macron leaves the bomb: “After carrying out the consultations provided for in article 12 of our Constitution, I decided to return the election of our parliamentary future by vote. Therefore, I dissolved the National Assembly tonight.”
“It was better before”
A few months later, Emmanuel Macron, on the occasion of his wishes to the French for New Year, publicly admitted that the dissolution had brought “More divisions in the Assembly than solutions for the French“ In private, the head of state even says that “it was better before”, while the assembly is more divided than ever.
After the dissolution, the first round of the legislative elections was held on June 30, 2024, and the second round, on July 7. A year later, the rumors of a new solution return regularly, still denied by the Elysée. But in fact, could Emmanuel Macron use it?
The response is in particular in article 12 of the Constitution, mentioned by the President during his June 9, 2024 speech. “The President of the Republic can, after consulting with the prime minister and the presidents of the assemblies, pronounce the dissolution of the National Assembly. The general elections take place at least Twenty days and forty days to the maximum after the solution (…) a new solution cannot be obtained in the year.
If the Head of State wants to dissolve the National Assembly again, he could do it, but not before July 8, a year and a day after the second round of the 2024 legislative elections.
Rn widely in the example in case of a new solution
On April 24, Emmanuel Macron, then on a state visit to Madagascar, however, denied the rumors of the American press, which evoked another dissolution. “I never said such a thing, I did not imagine such a thing,” he said. “I probably made mistakes, I made things that were sometimes not understood. This is undoubtedly the case of dissolution,” he admitted.
According to an Elabe survey, conducted for BFMTV and the Tribune on Sunday, and published this Saturday, June 7, 7 of 10 French (71%) judges that it was “a bad decision” and 65% do not want a new one.
If another dissolution does not seem to be in the immediate projects of Emmanuel Macron, a political party has continued wanting a new one: the national demonstration. Even so, according to Elabe’s study, the distant part would be at the top of the voting intentions in case of a new solution with 33%. Much ahead of the left, divided, with 16%, macronists (15.5%), LR (10.5%) and France Rebelde (10%).
On June 30, 2024, in the first round of the legislative elections, RN candidates had reached the front (33.22%), followed by the Left Alliance NFP (28.06%), macronistas (20.76%) and LR (10.68%).
Source: BFM TV
