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Emmanuel Macron finds the power to dissolve the National Assembly, but still without being clear in its intentions.

A year after the dissolution of the National Assembly on the night of the European elections, the President of the Republic can use this constitutional power again. Until now, he has refused to completely exclude this option, even if his desire is to avoid it.

Emmanuel Macron can press the button again. A year after the early legislative elections of June 30 and July 7, the President of the Republic recovers his power to dissolve the National Assembly, under article 12 of the Constitution.

If the exact date is not decided, some constitutionalists are located behind July 8, when others evoke on July 1, choosing the first round as a reference, as indicated by a release article: the participation is clear: will the President dissolve the National Assembly before the 2027 presidential election?

The president has not completely excluded this option

Until now, the interested party appears in the goat and cabbage. On the one hand, he explains wanting to avoid this scenario. “The only thing to have” is that “people’s life is improving,” said Friday, July 4 during a trip to Saint-Germain-en-Laye (Yvelines).

Direct comments that are held on June 9 in Nice, regardless of the United Nations Conference on the Ocean, when he said that his “desire” was that “there was no other dissolution.”

“But my habit is not depriving myself of constitutional power, because if the political parties decided to have a completely irresponsible approach and block the country, perhaps I would find myself in a situation in which I must use the Constitution,” said the president the same day, refusing to completely exclude this option.

Which provides caution. Especially since Emmanuel Macron had surprised everyone on June 9, 2024, announcing the dissolution of the National Assembly on the night of the European elections, whose results were very disappointing for their camp, unlike the extremes, they arrived widely in mind.

Didn’t he tell himself, a month earlier, in an interview with the gallery on Sunday, that “the conclusion” of this ballot would be “first European”?

The threat of censorship is affirmed before the budget

Maintaining vagueness in the current period can serve the Head of State, while the threat of censorship of Prime Minister François Bayrou is affirmed before the budget examination in the fall. The possibility of dissolution and, therefore, the new legislative elections could dissuade certain deputies to overthrow the government …

Or not. Certainly, the question is very sensitive to national concentration, whose voices would be necessary, in addition to those on the left, to lead to censorship. In fact, if the deputies must give their mandate at stake, Marine Le Pen will remain at the dock due to their condemnation in the first instance, for embezzlement of public funds, to a five -year inevitability judgment with immediate execution in the trial of parliamentary assistants of the National Front.

However, this same Marine Le Pen shows her serenity against a possible solution. And for a good reason: the leader from afar, questioned by RTL on Thursday, July 3, gave little credit to this option, “given the very low gain that the President of the Republic could extract from it”, while its popularity qualification and that of François Bayrou are very low.

Author: Baptiste Farge
Source: BFM TV

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