Go to New York to escape an unwavering atmosphere. If the new Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has barely left Matignon since his appointment, Emmanuel Macron has been crossing the borders.
Three days at the UN for the recognition of Palestine, a few days in Denmark since Monday for a European Council, a Luxembourg stop to attend the advent of the Throne of the Grand Duke along with all the gratina of the monarchy …
Between the Clef International Rendez-Vous and a more mundane event, the president seems more than aspiring in recent weeks by the international scene, far from the deeply unstable political context created after the fiasco of the dissolution.
“In the national scene, he is no longer audible at all. He tries to climb the slope to the international where he can still be taken seriously,” observes Jean-Luc DeMarty, former Jacques Delors advisor to the European Commission.
Assume the fight against Donald Trump
In this area, the stations are followed and resembled. Last March, already, another decoration, another prime minister, but even an appearance of France. After the arrival of Donald Trump to the White House determined to approach Vladimir Putin and seriously review his support for Ukraine, Emmanuel Macron took his Pelerin stick with European and international leaders.
With a certain success: the birth of the voluntary coalition that allowed after several years of conflict between Moscow and kyiv in a sustainable peace program, very quickly eclipsed by the very high voltage meeting in the White House between the American manager and Volodyr Zelensky.
The head of state also set the issue of nuclear deterrence on the table, saying that they are “ready to open” the discussion to their European partners last February. But Emmanuel Macron is surprised while completely breaking with the doctrine of nuclear deterrence in France. From its origin, it wants to be completely independent and is based on the appreciation of a single man, the President of the Republic, of a threat against the vital interests of the country, without sharing with its neighbors. The pavement in the pond, however, has not yet given much.
As for the Palestinian archive, the recognition of the Palestine state used by Emmanuel Macron was supported by more than 150 countries, and the issue of possible conflict outings between Israel and Hamas rested while aroused the anger of the Americans.
“Accept leadership”
In summary, the message has passed: the second five -year term of Emmanuel Macron is not over, well prepared to make his voice and difference with Donald Trump heard. It is not about stop using the levers that have remained and their cap of the armies, constitutionally untouchable, until the end of his last day in the Elysée in the spring of 2027.
“The uncertainty of US support, a protector of Europe for more than 80 years, has been card reconstruction. Many countries that do not want to take their measures in those of Washington look with great interest in France,” analyzes the Renaissance Thomas Gassilloud, specialists in specialist defense problems.
“We can feel that we need more than ever of a country that agrees to take leadership and bring a real vision of what it is to be European today,” shares the European deputy Renew Valérie Hayer.
Great classic of damaged presidents
In a more changing global context than ever, hexagon in fact verifies many boxes that allow him to maintain a great influence in Brussels as in the world. France is the only European Union country with nuclear weapons, it is one of the five countries in the world that has a seat in the UN Security Council and has a relatively powerful army.
“In addition to perhaps in the United States, nowhere a western president has such freedom in military matters,” observes a former Sebastien Lecornu ministerial advisor to armies. “It is a constant of our heads of the state of all enjoying them, even when it is more complicated for them in France.”
Difficult to show that it is wrong. Almost all the predecessors of Emmanuel Macron operated an international turn at the end of the mandate, often very delicate. Example with François Mitterrand: diminished by the disease, confronted with a second cohabitation between 1993 and 1995, weakened by judicial political affairs that affect their relatives, the then president had weighed with all his weight so that the Maastricht treaty, which puts the euro in tracking, is successful.
The opposition model to war in Iraq
The same mole for François Hollande, who, after having chosen not to imagine before the French, launched a great conference for peace and tries to end the civil war in Syria, without success. Nicolas Sarkozy has UVNA looks. After being absorbed by the international scene and the subprime crisis after his arrival at Elysée, the president had preferred consecrated in the last months of five years to try to be selected by Cruzada France.
“We rarely put your successes in your credit in the European authorities. Therefore, if you want to keep the president and are campaigning, she does not go every morning in Brussels, even if this is where many things are played economically,” says a former QUAI d’Orsay advisor.
But it is especially with Jacques Chirac, completely demonized after the failure of the referendum in the European Constitution of 2005 against the context of the disturbances in the suburbs and the immense manifestations against the CPE, which the similarity is the most surprising. Jacques Chirac had been against George W. Bush, then leader of the United States, in the war in Iraq. At that time, there are few countries to accept that Washington is counterproductive.
“We had someone very damaged in France and who had recovered a virginity in the war. It was a master coup and they all remembered 20 years later. Obviously, Emmanuel Macron wants to rebuild Jacques Chirac’s coup d’etat,” says historian Jean Garrigues.
“The evaluation that will remain is the international”
Perhaps even more than the former president who died in 2019, may be the example of Dominique de Vilepin, then Chief of Diplomacy, which Emmanuel Macron has in a corner of his head. The former prime minister has remained in memories since His speech before the United Nations in 2003 against military intervention in Iraq.
At that time, his words, written by Jacques Chirac’s entourage, had aroused the applause of the Arab world, but aroused strong discomfort among a large part of European leaders, who did not want to get angry with the United States.
More than two decades later, his words stayed and his record in Matignon, very contrasting, totally forgotten. The “legacy” of Emmanuel Macron, to resume a term that we like in the halls of the Elysée, and that refers to the inheritance of the president and Dominique of Vilpan will be similar?
“The Rastro of Emmanuel Macron will end up blurry in France. But its real evaluation, which will remain, will be internationally European scale,” he will want to believe a good connoisseur of European questions for the Renaissance.
“I wanted to be like a president who will have changed the country. This is not what we will remember,” he also shares one of his former advisors who “doubt, however, his future imprint.” And his impulse in the reconstruction of Notre-Dame or his incarnation of the Olympic Games of Paris 2024, two files in the international echo, will change nothing. “For your legacy to remain, a successor will be needed that does not break the entire image of France just behind.”
Damaged by his 12 years in power, Jacques Chirac had ended up being particularly popular until the end of his life. Does your predecessor distantly know the same destiny, which is very low in all opinion studies?
Source: BFM TV
