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“A probability of 27.6%”: Who chatgpt sees the favorite to happen to Pope Francis?

Although François’s funeral will take place this Saturday, April 26, the choice of the future sovereign pontiff is already in all heads. The chatgpt analysis was asked, a way to prove the progress of artificial intelligence.

There is no need to make the suspense last. The next Pope will be the Italian Pietro Parolin. In any case, this is Chatgpt’s choice, questioned by Tech & Co in the name of Pope Francis’s successor. A reasonable option since the cardinal is currently the number 2 of the Vatican and would assume a form of continuity.

The Cardinal State Secretary obtains a “27.6%probability” to become the next sovereign pontiff, according to artificial intelligence. A specific figure that is actually based on a more advanced analysis of what he thinks.

To obtain a “Top 5”, it was necessary to use the Chatgpt O3 model, considered by the Operai parent company as the best for advanced reasoning. It was also necessary to tell you that you do not take into account press articles to guarantee a clear analysis of the situation.

The classification, by probability, is, therefore, the following.

For this, Chatgpt used 5 criteria, each of which was observed in 5: the sociology of the Electoral College, the will of continuity or a break, governance and diplomacy, age and health and finally ideological acceptability, that is, the ability of the future Pope to seduce the various internal currents.

ChatGPT will then ponder its results through a “homemade model” that takes into account a “simplified ideologies” cartography.

Outtisder Luis Antonio Tagle

Pietro Parolin, therefore, is one step ahead. “Combine support, on the one hand, a significant part of the 53 Europeans, of the Italians who wish to” bring the papacy home “, and many moderates from the south who see in it the guarantee of a soft transition instead of a reversal. Their long diplomatic practice reassures those who want curious reforms without overcoming,” chat of cuts.

The stranger is the Philippin Luis Antonio Tagle obtains a 24%probability score. “It goes with an almost acquired block: almost all 23 (cardinals) Asians, many Africans and Latin American (≈ 58 potential votes). It still lacks 30-35 votes, which will have to negotiate in moderate Europeans; it is feasible but not won” Chatgpt Tranche.

Keep in mind that Cardinal Ghanés Peter Turkson arrives in the fifth position (11.9%). “African and social symbol; its real qualification will depend on the will of the cardinals to cross two caps: continent and skin color. Today, it serves more as a” progressive king manufacturer than the favorite, “writes AI.

The probability that a surprise name occurs is even greater (12%): “We agree from 1978 and 2013 remind us that a strange consensus may arise after the wear and tear of the favorites” underlines the chatgpt. In this little game, the Frenchman Jean – Marc Aveline could be the correct commitment if the “Italians and the South Cardinals (Asia + Latin America + part of Africa) neutralize” during the ballot.

Chatgpt does not read the future, but the result of the conclave will be a good test to evaluate the progress of its analysis.

Author: Thomas Leroy
Source: BFM TV

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