The rebellion of the Wagner group, which lasted more than 24 hours, left, in the opinion of former UN Assistant Secretary General Victor Angelo, Russian President Vladimir Putin weakened. in the forum TSFthe expert confessed that he sees a danger in this weakness of Putin.
“My experience shows that when the dictator feels more fragile, he tends to be extreme, that is, to take even more radical positions. In this case, more aggressive, that is, in relation to Ukraine, that is, we can wait in the in the coming days, in the coming weeks, an intensification of attacks, in particular missile attacks against Ukraine Support of the Ukrainian air defense, to reflect on the issue of Ukrainian war aircraft and to resolve it this problem, which is a problem that has been pending for a long time and that must be solved urgently”, explained Vítor Ângelo.
The PSD MEP, Paulo Rangel, agrees with this reading of Vítor Ângelo in relation to Russia and considers that now there is greater uncertainty.
“We have an increase in risk and uncertainty here because, on the one hand, there is a weakening of Putin’s power. It was discovered that the government and the leadership of the Russian federation were double challenged. There was this riot, insurrection or uprising. , we don’t really know. This means that there are forces that are not satisfied with the conduct of the war but, on the other hand, the passivity of the Russian armed forces,” he defended before TSF Pablo Rangel.
Pedro Marques, a PS MEP, maintains that it is still not clear what will happen in Russia in the coming days.
“There is no clear data, there is no certainty even where Prigozhin is at the moment. So the idea of a possible deal struck hours after Putin called Prigozhin a traitor paints a picture of Putin’s weakness, but Putin clearly has this notion and his regime and it’s certainly not over yet. Putin will not want to be left alone with that image of weakening. We are going to see what happens in the next hours and days, obviously hoping that the consequence of all this, of this weakening that seems evident of the Russian regime is, in fact, the end of the aggression in Ukraine. This is the most important thing and we have to continue to do our part, which is to support the Ukrainians impeccably and unwaveringly,” argued Pedro. Marques.
The researcher at the Portuguese Institute of International Relations, José Pedro Teixeira Fernandes, thinks otherwise.
“These factional fights in the Russian state are largely the creation of Putin himself. It is possible that he has now lost some control over the events of this weekend, but it is not obvious that he will not be able to turn this in his favor because Prigozhin backed down. We do not know exactly on what terms and what will happen to him, no one later came forward to openly challenge Vladimir Putin. This could allow Vladimir Putin to further increase control over state structures and eliminate opponents with whom he did not feel so confident. how much to do”, added José Pedro Teixeira Fernandes.
Hours after the start of the rebellion and while units of the Wagner group advanced towards Moscow, the Kremlin announced an agreement that implies the departure of Prigozhin to Belarus, as well as the withdrawal of treason charges and the guarantee that the members of the mercenary group he would not be judged for his actions.
Following the agreement, Prigozhin ordered the members of the group to abandon the positions taken during their advance, including the withdrawal from the center of the city of Rostov-on-Don, in order to reduce tensions arising from the fight against the leadership of the Ministry of Defense. and Russian Army in the context of the invasion of Ukraine launched in February 2022 by order of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Source: TSF
