Since 2019, the number of departures from the State due to retirement has been increasing. About 15,000 civil servants are expected to retire by the end of this year. vivo.
In the first half of the year alone, 7,428 employees retired, meaning many more will leave in the second half of the year, totaling 14,856 new retirees or about 15 thousand, rounded up. This is an increase of nearly 1,000 retirees compared to 2022, about 2,000 compared to 2021 and 2020, and nearly 5,000 compared to 2019, the year with the lowest outflow due to retirement. According to DGAEP statistical overviews, between 2015 and 2018, between 5,000 and 6,500 employees retired each year. It is necessary to go back to the years of the financial bailout, namely 2013 and 2014, when 15,676 and 14,910 employees retired respectively, to find such high figures compared to the forecasts for this year: about 15 thousand.
Of the 7,428 who retired between January and June, 62%, equivalent to 4,613 employees, left education (1,981 employees), municipalities (1,468), and the National Health Service (1,164).
While the number of retirees is growing, reflecting an aging civil service, the DGAEP report shows that the overall balance between departures and arrivals is positive: “From January 1 to June 30, 2023, the government sector as a whole, in consolidated terms, is , recorded a positive net balance of 3352 jobs, which was due to the positive balance of 1367 jobs in central government and 2165 jobs in regional and local governments, as there was a decrease of 180 jobs in the social security funds subsector”.
The statutory retirement age has fallen by three months this year to 66 years and 4 months, compared to the 66 years and 7 months in effect in 2022. This decrease is mainly due to the increase in the mortality rate among the elderly due to the covid-19 pandemic. The discount due to the sustainability factor, which applies to early retirement, also fell from 14.06% to 13.8%. In addition to this penalty, the discount of 0.5% must be taken into account for each month in which the employee retired earlier than legally stipulated.
For next year, the government maintains access to retirement at 66 years and 4 months, as well as the sustainability factor at 13.8%, despite the fact that the National Institute of Statistics (INE) has revised the statutory retirement age upwards. months and the fine up to 15.2%.
“Successive governments have always been based on the provisional values of the INE, with the aim of the timely determination of the relevant coefficients for access to a pension and for its calculation,” justified the Ministry of Labor at the time, led by Ana Mendes Godinho, to Dinheiro Vivo.
According to the final data from the INE mortality tables, published in June, the average life expectancy at age 65 has increased compared to the initial estimate. “The difference between the provisional value of life expectancy at age 65 for 2020-2022, released in November 2022, of 19.30 years, and the now revised value of 19.61, corresponds to 0.31 years, or 3.66 months”, the statistics bureau indicates.
This indicator has an impact on the sustainability factor, which is calculated by dividing the average life expectancy at age 65 in 2000 (16.63%) by the now calculated value (19.61), subtracting 1 and then multiplying by 100, resulting in 15.2%. However, by guardianship decision, this discount remains at 13.8%, making it very likely that in 2024 the value will accelerate to make up for the difference.
The sustainability factor is a far cry from 2013 values, when it was 4.78%. From that year onwards, due to the imposition of the troika, the calculation formula was changed and the average life expectancy in 2000 was used as a reference, and not in 2006, as it was until then, in the following year, in 2014, a sharp increase to 12.34%.
DGAEP data, released this week, shows the state employed 745,707 workers in the second quarter, between April and June, representing 60 fewer jobs compared to the first three months of the year, when there were 745,767. jobs were. This decrease, which is virtually nil in percentage terms, is mainly due to the decrease in the number of doctors, university professors and GNR guards.
In the homologous variation, that is to say compared to the second quarter of last year, the number of employees practically stagnated, with a growth of only 0.6%, which corresponds to 4560 more contracts compared to the 741 147 registered in that period, “as a result of the growth of local and regional administration (a further 4,972 jobs), particularly in municipal and parish councils (namely senior technicians and representatives of the legislature),” according to the statistical index.
Source: DN
