If nothing is done, the Social Security deficit could reach 3.3 PIB points in 2040 and 8.6 points in 2070, against 0.5 points in 2024, a transparty senatorial report warned on Tuesday, asking to re -balance the last time in 2035.
The Social Security deficit reached a registration level in 2024 (excluding the crisis period) by 15.3 billion euros and should continue to increase, to unchanged policies, to reach 24.8 billion euros in 2025, recalls this report by the senators Elisabeth Doineau (group of centrist) and the monge of Raymonde Poncet (ecologist), for the mission of the social mission (Measurement of the average (measurement of the social average).
The financial and, in particular, the rapid growth of health insurance spending is no longer sustainable and the government has promised to return to balance for 2028-2029, an “ambitious, but attainable” objective, guarantee the replaceors.
For this, “40 million euros are needed in measurement measures to improve the balance, or 10 billion euros in measures per year”, be it a fall in expenses, new income or action in GDP as an increase in the amount of work, they point out.
Effective in “Risk Zone”
They do not give a magical recipe, but make the long list of options on the table.
First it will be necessary to define an objective of controlling the health insurance expense, which increases each year structurally. If it is established, for example, in +2.9% per year, in accordance with the Financing Law (PLFSS) by 2025, this implies “net savings of around 4 billion euros per year” and “other shares” that would bring 6 billion euros per year.
Without measures, the Social Treasury Agency, which allows us to pay social benefits, would enter the end of 2025 “in the risk zone.”
In recent years, efforts on health insurance expenses have focused mainly on prices, continue, asking for more interested in the “ineffective” system, that is, waste, which would represent “a quarter of the expenses” today.
Among the multiple factors of explaining the increase in the deficit in recent years, they remember that the measures of the “health security” have only partially funded and that income or “social niches” increased considerably by 2022 and 2023, to reach 100 billion euros today, of which the State was not compensated by the State.
Source: BFM TV
