The government will have waited until the last moment. He will get 49.3 this Wednesday to approve his text on the 2023 budget, that is, on the last day dedicated to examining this bill in the National Assembly.
This article allows you to adopt your text without going through the vote of the deputies in the National Assembly. The 2023 budget is then reviewed in the Senate. In the National Assembly there is, however, for the opposition, a device to frustrate the executive: the motion of censure. It allows not only to reject the passage of the bill, but also to overthrow the government.
However, this scenario is almost impossible. To be approved, a motion of censure requires the votes of the majority of the members of the Assembly. With the current composition of the hemicycle, this would be equivalent to a baroque alliance between the Les Républicains (LR) party, the National Association (RN) and the New Ecological and Social Popular Union (Nupes). However, if the RN and the Nupes are going to present a motion of no confidence, the two groups must stay in their lane and not vote for the other’s disposition.
What amendments will the government uphold?
This scenario was known in advance, being the relative majority and the oppositions announced this summer their intention not to vote on the 2023 budget. However, the Government left room for debate, even if the deputies of the relative majority were defeated in certain amendments . . However, a way for the government not “to be accused of killing the democratic debate,” according to Matthieu Croissandeau, a political columnist for BFMTV.
Therefore, the issue that concerns parliamentarians is more the content of the bill. For Matthieu Croissandeau, the government runs various risks depending on the scenarios. That of the accusations of “forced passage” if no opposition amendment is upheld; that of the trial in “inconsequence” if all the measures voted against the ruling of the executive are maintained.
“The government will therefore have to make its market in the amendments and take the opportunity to send signals to this or that group”, explains our editorialist.
Bruno Le Maire spoke this Monday on BFMTV about the possibility of maintaining a socialist amendment that allowed maintaining “5.5% VAT on masks” or another of the Republicans consisting of “raising the value of restaurant tickets from 11 to 13 euros”.
However, he should not keep the superdividend tax presented by the MoDem and then voted against the opinion of the executive thanks to the votes of the MoDem, therefore, but also of the RN, the Nupes and, more surprisingly, of 19 Renaissance deputies. .
Source: BFM TV
