“We are getting closer to the wall, so yes, we are honking louder and louder,” warns an RN deputy. While the threat of a motion of no confidence against Michel Barnier’s government seems to be gaining ground in recent days, Michel Barnier will receive Marine Le Pen in Matignon this Monday, November 25.
This Monday morning, the Prime Minister begins a series of interviews with all the presidents of the parliamentary groups, including the opposition, on the budget texts that must be adopted before the end of the year.
Faced with a possible 49.3, the left promises to respond with a motion of censure. Except that for this censure to be voted, the vote of the RN deputies is essential. Therefore, the extreme right can save Michel Barnier… or precipitate his fall.
The majority of RN voters are in favor of censorship
This week, Marine Le Pen warned the Prime Minister. “We will not accept that the purchasing power of the French is further reduced,” promised the head of the RN parliamentarians.
“I will tell you that the planned increase of 6 billion in the price of electricity is unacceptable for us, that the fact of not saving in a certain number of aspects of the functioning of the State is unacceptable, harming companies and retirees.” “It is unacceptable,” he also stated on RTL.
A close advisor to the far-right deputy explains to BFMTV that she is waiting for measures from Michel Barnier. “If you take Marine Le Pen’s comments during the general policy statement, the issues she expected action on were purchasing power, security, immigration and proportional representation,” he explains.
“If the measures go in the right direction and correspond to the expectations of the French, the product will continue to have its chance,” we say at RN about the budget. Let us understand, therefore, that the flame party could claim victories among its voters to justify the fact of not censuring Michel Barnier’s government.
However, according to a poll by Elabe for BFMTV published on Wednesday, November 21, 51% of French people are in favor of voting on a motion of no confidence. A rate that rises to 63% if only people who voted for Marine Le Pen in the second round of the 2022 presidential elections are questioned.
Michel Barnier “open to dialogue”
At the end of her interview with Michel Barnier, Marine Le Pen will weigh the pros and cons. “I am not sure that the decision will be made as soon as the Matignon meeting is published. The answer will be given within a few weeks, especially since the text can be modified until the last moment,” underlines a close advisor.
The Prime Minister’s entourage assures BFMTV that he is “serene and open to dialogue, as he has always said.” “The prime minister has been a good negotiator on many issues in his life. He knows how things work. He listened carefully to what Marine Le Pen was saying. Now we have to let things happen,” continues this source. “There are still weeks of debate on the budget. “We are only halfway there.”
But Michel Barnier’s government is running out of time: the finance bill and the Social Security budget must be approved before the end of the calendar year.
A vote on the entire Social Security budget is scheduled for Tuesday, November 26 in the Senate. And this Wednesday a mixed commission between deputies and senators (CMP) should be convened. A conclusive CMP would lead to a final vote in both chambers, with a likely 49.3 in the National Assembly.
The state budget comes to session in the Senate this Monday, November 25, with a solemn vote scheduled for December 12, a prelude to the meeting of a CMP, then a final vote in the Senate and the National Assembly.
On this text, Michel Barnier could thus obtain 49.3 in the National Assembly in mid-December. Rebel Jean-Luc Mélenchon predicted this calendar on Sunday, November 18, stating on France 3 that “Michel Barnier’s government will fall between December 15 and 21 of this year.”
The former candidate for the presidential elections will look like a prophet if and only if his biggest political enemy, Marine Le Pen, asks the RN deputies to add their voices to those of the elected representatives of the New Popular Front.
Source: BFM TV
