How many divisions on proportional? François Bayrou launched this series of political forces on the subject on Wednesday, April 30, April 30, starting with receiving the national demonstration camp with Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella.
But if the prime minister wants to be favorable to a new voting system for the legislative elections, which allows the seats to be distributed according to the percentage obtained by each candidate, as well as the RN, the disagreements are very numerous when one enters into detail.
• How do we vote today?
Each voter votes in the constituency where it resides to choose a deputy who represents its territory. To be chosen in the first round, it is necessary to gather more than 50 % of the votes cast that represent at least 25 % of the voters registered in the electoral lists.
If this does not happen, only 76 candidates were chosen in this case during the last legislative elections, it is necessary to gather at least 12.5% of the number of registered voters to qualify in the second round. To be finally chosen, you must obtain at least 50% in the second round.
• What François Bayrou wants to do
The centrist, who defends a new voting system in legislators for almost two decades, has proposed a comprehensive proportional election in a single round for legislative elections, department by department.
Specifically, this would mean that all deputies are distributed according to the results obtained by each list at the departmental level instead of depending on their score in each constituency, as is currently the case with the need to pass at least the 12.5% mark in the first round to qualify in the second.
With a key question: the access threshold for the choice. A relatively low threshold would allow the parties that are not yet present in the National Assembly to enter. If it was established, for example, in 2%, this would allow the Animalist Party that had obtained 2.1% of the votes for the last Europeans to win seats of the deputies.
On the contrary, if this threshold was higher, at 5%, for example, it could make certain forces disappear from the landscape of the Assembly. The communists obtained only 2.5% of the votes for the last Europeans. They currently have 17 deputies. François Bayrou proposes to set this 5% threshold per department.
• What Marine Le Pen wants to do
The president of the deputies of RN defends a vision of the proportional near Fraçois Bayrou. But Marine Le Pen defends what is called most of the premium. This means that part of the deputies of the deputies are reserved for the list reaching the boss at the end of the legislative elections. This is already the case that municipal elections more easily release the majorities.
The RN proposes that this majority cousin be established by 25%. Specifically, this would mean that 25% of the deputies are reserved for the list reached the top. Due to its difficulty establishing political alliances, with the exception of Eric Ciotti forces, this figure would allow to anticipate an important majority for the RN.
If the nuances are expressed between Marine Le Pen and François Bayrou on the subject, she said when she left her appointment with him this Wednesday “to share the desire for a reform of the voting mode.”
With a will: return from the 1986 legislative elections that had allowed the RN for the first time to enter the National Assembly. The established threshold was then 5% of department by department. The president of the deputies of RN also seemed to be at the end of this meeting ready to make concessions at the request of a majority premium.
• What Macronie wants to do
In 2017, Emmanuel Macron, then presidential candidate, had promised to introduce a “dose of proportional” for the legislative elections, without much progress in this issue once elected.
In 2022, then in the campaign for his re -election, the president said that again favorable to proportional, even opening the door to a comprehensive proportional, with a series of seats proportional to the total votes obtained.
The deputies of the Renaissance now consider that the current voting system is “the least worse”, because the “distortion” between the number of votes and the number of deputies “no longer exists” in the current assembly, the macronist deputy Pierre Cazeneuve, specialist in the subject within his camp to the AFP.
The president of the National Assembly Yaël Braun-Pivet proposes that the proportional be applied in the 11 departments that have more than 10 deputies, which represents approximately a quarter of the seats.
The idea behind this barrier is based on what constitutionalists call “the Edoudon effect” with the idea that a proportional applied only in certain territories limits the risk of a single list that would largely earn the elections.
But the measure could be considered unconstitutional representing an inequality in the representation of voters according to their place of life. Yaël Braun-Pivet also said he was “reserved” about the urgency of a reform in this direction.
• What Republicans want
On the right, we are standing against proportional. “We need stability and it is not the time,” said Senate President Gérard Larcher in BFMTV on Wednesday. “It is the safest way not to give France a majority,” Bruno Retailleau also shared in Europe 1-CNews a few minutes before.
As for the president of the deputies LR Laurent Wauquiez, firmly put François Bayrou during a breakfast in Matignon, criticizing before him “the amazing hierarchy of the government on the subject.
It should be said that the correct score with the Europeans below the 8% brand does not make LR want to run the risk of reducing their number of deputies. Especially since the colors resumed thanks to their return to the government after 12 years of shortage.
• What the rebel France wants
Once it is not usual, Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s troops agree with Prime Minister and Marine Le Pen.
They remain the model chosen by François Mitterrand in 1986, namely, a proportional with a threshold established in 5% department by department.
A bill had been submitted in this sense in April 2024, clearly arrested for the solution. Since then, it has not been given to the agenda by the deputies of LFI has not been delivered to the agenda.
• What socialists want
PS deputies are very divided into the subject. Former President François Hollande, who returns to the assembly since last summer, now defends proportional. “Today we have all the disadvantages of proportional, that is, a fragmented national assembly” but “without the advantages that a party could appear before the voters of their own ideas,” he had judged the former head of state in RTL in September.
In the Elysée between 2012 and 2017, François Hollande had not taken over the subject. As for the first secretary of the Olivier Faure party, it is quite mixed, telling himself “favorable to a” proportional dose while “seeing the threat that weighs to have a stable majority.”
• And now?
Once François Bayrou has finished consulting all political forces, he will have to decide the proposed method. The prime minister has continued to say how he how to proceed specifically the proportional.
Would you emanate directly from the government? Bill presented by an MP MP? Very hypothetical referendum proposed by Emmanuel Macron, who promised during his wishes on December 31 to consult the French to “decide” “determine the subjects.” The question is still complete.
Source: BFM TV
