France, condemned to witness? Since the beginning of the conflict between Iran and Israel, Emmanuel Macron has struggled to find his place in the international scene. Trapped between Donald Trump and the powers of the Middle East, the Head of State and the European Union appear without much influence.
An image alone summarizes the situation: this Wednesday, June 25, Donald Trump and the NATO general secretary Mark Rutte held a press conference, without any representative of the former continent by his side.
The European Union occurs before compliance with Israeli attacks
“We are chaining statements that are not followed by any effect. We have the impression that no one seriously assumes French and even less European diplomacy,” laments the historian specialist in Geostrategy, François Géré with BFMTV.
“Everything happens as if we had no instrument of influence anymore,” regrets this research director at the University of Paris-3.
Difficult to contradict it: the first Israeli attacks that affected the Mullah regime on June 13, even began the European Union tried to find a new agreement on the Iranian nuclear program.
Demonic diplomacy
Actually, the United States has been negotiating for months with the Mullahs regime to avoid the country with nuclear weapons that could go directly to Israel.
In recent days, Washington has also managed to conclude a high fire between Israel and Iran after ending for attacks on Telehran.
“It is by force that Donald Trump is moving forward in this archive. Diplomacy and respect for international incarnate law in particular for France appear as demonized,” observes the attached socialist and president of the Friendship Group France Iran.
“If we can consider that there is a legitimacy to neutralize nuclear structures in Iran with the objectives that are ours, there is no legality framework, no,” the head of state also acknowledged on Tuesday during a press conference in Norway.
“The most effective force of force” than international law
But Emmanuel Macron always believes possible to get out of the crisis “by diplomatic and technical route”. And pity if it was the air operations carried out by Donald Trump that allowed the Iranian nuclear military program to be delayed several “decades”, as the US billionaire advanced on Wednesday.
“The problem is that today, the coup is more effective than the negotiations we have been carrying out for almost 20 years with Iran. How do we show that diplomacy remains effective?
The situation turns out to be even more complicated since Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu praised a “historical victory” on Tuesday by saying that US air strikes had “annihilated the Iranian nuclear project.”
Disrum around the result of strikes
According to a preliminary confidential report of American intelligence, whose content has been described by sources close to the archive to the media such as the New York Times, US bombings would not have completely eliminated enriched uranium stocks Iranian uranium that finally allow to create nuclear bombs.
The strikes would prefer to have sealed the entrances of certain facilities without destroying underground buildings, delaying the Iranian nuclear program for just a few months, without destroying it completely, according to this information.
“We are in ads made by Donald Trump, which can be denied very quickly. It is difficult to advance in such unstable lands. All this is necessarily reflected in Emmanuel Macron,” acknowledges the vice president of the Hélène Conway-Mouret Foreign Affairs Committee (PS).
A European Council under the seal of the division
Meanwhile, the strength strategy to end a long growth conflict seems to work. In Iran, President Massaud fishshkian announced Tuesday night “the end of the war” imposed “by Israel and promised to respect the high fire whenever his opponent does the same.
The European Union will try to recover control this Thursday and this Friday during a European Council. But all the protagonists are far from speaking the same language. On the one hand, we will find Emmanuel Macron, who will try to continue supplying the diplomatic path, helped by the role of Messenger who assigned to the head of American diplomacy Marco Rubio to his French counterpart Jean-Noël Barrot.
Therefore, the Foreign Minister was seen asking for messages to the Iranians for a high fire with Israel in recent days. “I will plead so that the high continuous fire,” said Emmanuel Macron during a speech from the NATO summit this Wednesday afternoon.
“No one has the same interests”
But on the other side of the table on the European Council, we will find Italy embodied by its Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who should greatly support Donald Trump. The Peninsula hosts 12,000 American soldiers and remains an important strategic platform for the United States.
As for Germany, he initially supported Lsrael in his attacks against Iran before trusting the European position.
“The problem we have today is that no one has the same interests in the Iranian archive at European level. It is impossible to find a common position despite the efforts of Emmanuel Macron and obviously Donald Trump benefits,” observes a member of the Foreign Affairs Committee.
Donald Trump can also boast another victory: after having stopped demanding that the members of the NATO European countries significantly increase their security expenses, often rejected with the latter, Berlin ended up yielding.
Source: BFM TV
