The white smoke will end up coming … one day. Sébastien Lecornu may have largely drawn the Michel Barnier registration to appoint its ministers, the result is approaching. His predecessor had waited 16 days to announce his team against now 23 days for the new Tenant of Matignon.
“It is very long, it is exhausting nervously,” he acknowledges a ministerial advisor, impatient to know if the minister for whom he works will finally be renewed once the last arbitrations have been presented.
A government probably this weekend
The clock revolves. The prime minister must pronounce his general policy statement at the beginning of next week for which he needs to have a government issued by his side in the hemicycle banks.
Sébastien Lecornu must also present the Social Security and the State Budget before the Council of Ministers before October 7, the day when the Head of Government will deposit him in the Assembly. In summary, the announcement of his new team is imminent. Emmanuel Macron must still be present.
The Constitution specifies that it is in fact the president who “appoints” the ministers “on the proposal of the prime minister.” The shooting window is narrow. The Head of State is currently in Denmark for a European Council before spending a few hours in Paris on Thursday night and then going to Luxembourg this Friday for the Advent to the Throne of the Grand Duke. Therefore, the weekend window seems the most likely.
Bruno Retailleau and Gérald Darmanin almost certain to stay
Once the calendar is installed, it remains mostly to compose the government. Unless there is a big surprise, it is guaranteed that several trucks stay, starting with Gérald Darmanin, who publicly indicated his desire to continue being the guardian of the seals. The same for Interior Minister Bruno Retilleau. The Place Beauvau tenant may have explained in BFMTV that its maintenance was not “automatic”, no grandmother does not believe when it left.
“Do you see it now and draw your government colleagues with him? Of course not. He begged him for the maintenance of François Bayrou, he will not be a minister three weeks later,” said a macronista deputy.
Its departure seems even more unlikely since Sébastien Lecornu needs the 50 deputies of the group led by Laurent Wauquiez to expect to take their budget to the National Assembly. It is likely that the head of the French diplomacy Jean-Noël Barrot will remain in a particularly complicated international context.
The Minister of National Education, Elisabeth Borne, could also play extensions within a ministry that has experienced no less than 6 bosses in 3 years. His colleague Rachida Dati in culture should also remain on Rue de Valois.
Suffice it to say that “the ruptures” promised by Sébastien Lecornu in “The Bottom” and in “form” during its transfer of power with François Bayrou should seem quite weak.
New?
However, it remains to find a successor of the new prime minister who left the armies for Matignon. In the initial blocks, we find Jean-Louis Thrioriot, very ephemeral number two in the Défense for a few months under Michel Barnier and Catherine Vautrin, currently at the head of the XXL portfolio of health and solidarity.
Some also slide the names of the socialist senator Rachid Tepal who had the opportunity to learn to work with Sébastien Lecornu in the Foreign Affairs Committee in the Upper House.
You also have to find new leaders for Bercy. It is the budget invented by the Minister of the Economy Éric Bompard and his colleague in the Amélie de Montchalin budget that caused the fall of François Bayrou in early September.
“If in the end, we have a budget and a government that possesses …”
Among the names that return to the table, we find in particular Roland Lescure. The former minister in charge of the industry between 2022 and 2024 will return to finance? In any case, he has stopped running to remain vice president of the National Assembly this week.
“It is not frankly dreaming, but in the end, we have a budget and a government that it possesses, it will no longer be bad,” acknowledges an elected rebirth.
In the midst of this Meli-me of ambitions, we must also satisfy a certain political balance. Content to the troops of Édouard Philippe, very few in low number François Bayrou, to give salaries to the modem, do not get angry with the rebirth … The recipe promises to be subtle, especially since certain deputies hit the door to enter the government and leave for at least a few months a bubbling hemiclo.
However, the break could be a short life. Without the benevolence of the socialists who threaten him for the time of censorship and a certain ambiguity of the national demonstration, which is waiting to listen to his general policy statement, Sébastien Lecornu has no chance of being parked beyond the fall.
Source: BFM TV
