Decisive territories. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are increasing miles and gatherings in “swing states,” those states that can influence the US presidential election, six days before the November 5 election.
The two candidates, who seem to follow each other, campaigned this Wednesday, October 30 in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The objective: convince the few voters still undecided for this election that promises to be one of the closest in the history of the United States.
In a pocket square
According to the poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight, the two candidates are very evenly matched. If Kamala Harris is credited with 48.1% of voting intentions nationally, compared to Trump’s 46.7%, the real battle will take place in key states.
A few thousand votes may be enough to swing these states toward the Democratic or Republican side, and the winning party will pocket all of the electors up for grabs in the state, according to the rule of thumb. winner takes all. As a reminder, a candidate must collect 270 to win on November 5.
According to FiveThirtEight, the vice president would lead in Michigan (15 voters) with an advantage of 0.8 points over Donald Trump, according to the average of different surveys.
Wisconsin (10 electors), Nevada (6) and Pennsylvania (19) would be the scene of a very close duel between the candidates, with less than 0.5 points difference each time.
Finally, Donald Trump would be preferred to Kamala Harris in Arizona (11 voters), where he leads the Democrat by 2.2 points, in Georgia (16) with a 1.8 point advantage, as well as in North Carolina (16) with an advantage of 1.8 points. small point advantage.
In all cases, these surveys should be read with great caution. The undecided states have changed color several times in recent weeks and none of the candidates has managed to widen a gap that exceeds the margin of error established by the different pollsters.
“It’s an election within the margin of error,” Jen O’Malley Dillon, one of the Democratic Party’s strategists, admitted to reporters on Tuesday.
Source: BFM TV
