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Diplomatic route, Israeli supplies, bombings … the scenarios available for Donald Trump in Iran

While speculation intensifies in a possible American intervention in Iran, Donald Trump has not yet dismissed the diplomatic path to convince the country to abandon its nuclear program and find the end of the conflict with Israel.

Will Donald Trump directly involve the United States in the conflict between Israel and Iran? While the two countries enter this sixth day of confrontation this Wednesday, June 18, the US president is “divided by two ambitions,” says Bruno Tiltrais, deputy director of the Foundation for Strategic Research, on BFMTV.

For the specialist, Donald Trump “dreams of the Nobel Peace Prize”, and could remain on the diplomatic path, while “the desire to participate in this historical operation” in the field with Israel. “With Trump, you never know which side the work will fall,” says Bruno Tiltrais.

According to US officials, Donald Trump has not yet made his decision and maintains all options on the table, the situation that evolves “hour by hour.”

A meeting with Iran during the week?

First, the president did not abandon the diplomatic path. The White House argues with Iran of a possible meeting this week between the special American envoy in the Middle East Steve Witkoff and the Foreign Minister of Iran, Abbas Araghchi, several sources told the axious site.

The objective of this meeting would be to discuss an exit from the conflict between Israel and Iran and reach an agreement for Tehran to leave its nuclear program.

The intervention of the United States in the Iranian territory could depend on this meeting. Because Donald Trump became an impatience by leaving the G7 prematurely on Tuesday. He indicated that he wanted “a real end” of the conflict, “not a high fire”, while specifying that “it was not” particularly humor to negotiate. “

He also intensified his speech towards the Iranian regime. The US president markedly requested an “unconditional capitulation” of Iran, and warned that the United States “knows exactly where the so -called Iranian supreme guide, Ayatolá Khamenei” is hidden but does not intend to “eliminate it (kill him!), At least for the moment.”

“Trump is convinced that touching the head of the Iranian system could cause significant changes. But it is very relative, we know very well that the Iranian regime has resources and the ability to bounce even in case of the loss of Ali Khamenei,” Judges Hasni Abidi, a professor at the University of Ginebra in BFMTV.

Of bombing supplies

US military officers are preparing for a possible deployment of United States Air Force supply plans to allow Israeli combat aircraft to carry out long -term missions in Iran, they indicate several sources in the New York Times and CNN. According to the latter, this would constitute a “minor intervention” of the United States in the conflict.

For this option to be implemented, about thirty US supply aircraft in the region in recent days have been implemented. In the case of climbing, these planes will also allow US administration to expand its intervention, in particular the possibility of organizing strikes in Iranian nuclear sites, the same sources specify in CNN.

Another scenario, radical: actively intervene in the conflict. This participation could go through the launch of the American Bunker bombs American against certain strategic sites such as Iranian nuclear site. It burned several tens of meters deep, this site could produce nuclear weapons in just a few weeks if it remains intact, according to David Albright, an expert from the Institute of International Science and Security, cited by the Guardian.

However, this factory is inaccessible for Israeli bombs and only US B-2 planes can eliminate GBU-57 eyelets. Therefore, a direct American intervention could be required to destroy this site built in secret in the 2000s.

Since the launch of the Israeli attack this Friday, June 13, the United States has already strengthened its “defensive device” in the Middle East, especially with the deployment of US Nimitz.

The divided republican camp

If Donald Trump has not yet made his decision, the Republican camp is divided into the position of being adopted in the conflict. The frame “Maga (make America great again) of the supporters of the US President are afraid of direct participation in the United States in the conflict, remembering that the candidate with a campaign as” peacemaker “.

Thus, Tucker Carlson, former Fox News present, said last week that “a war with Iran would represent a deep betrayal of Trump’s supporters.”

Another margin of Republicans, after growing with the administration of George W. Bush, Donald Trump calls reverse to get involved in Iran. Senator Lindsey Graham pushes him to take advantage of Tehran weakens to “finish the job.”

Waiting for a decision, Ayatolá Ali Khamenei threatened the United States with “irreparable” consequences in case of military intervention against Iran with Israel.

Author: Emilie Roussey with AFP
Source: BFM TV

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