Since this Friday, Spain has been in the electoral campaign for the regional and municipal elections on May 28, with the latest polls giving the victory to the Socialists, although they lose votes, and the advance of the extreme right throughout the territory.
On May 28, 12 of the 17 Spanish autonomous communities, all the municipalities in the country and the autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla, go to the polls, in some 8,200 elections in a single day.
For having had early elections or having their own calendar, Andalusia, Castilla y León, Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country do not have elections this year.
In the 12 autonomous communities where there are elections, the Socialist Party (PSOE) leads the regional governments of nine (Aragon, Asturias, the Balearic Islands, the Canary Islands, Castilla La Mancha, the Valencian Community, Extremadura, Navarra and Rioja); the Popular Party (PP, right) of two (Madrid and Murcia) and the Cantabrian Regionalist Party of one (Cantabria).
According to a survey released this Thursday by the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), which is the largest carried out in the country worldwide, the PSOE will be the party with the most votes on May 28, with close to 32% of the votes, followed by by the PP, with 27.3%.
The left-wing parties of the PSOE will reach, according to the same survey, around 8%, while the extreme right of VOX will have close to 7%, with a distribution that will allow it to enter all the regional parliaments of the 12 for the first time. regions that have elections.
The study also has surveys for each of the regions that have elections, according to which the PSOE may win in Asturias, the Balearic Islands, the Canary Islands, Castilla La Mancha and Extremadura, although in some cases it loses votes.
In two other regions – the Valencian Community and Navarra – although it is not the party with the most votes, the PSOE will be able to continue leading the governments, because the sum of the left-wing parties exceeds the right-wing alliance.
The Valencian Community, the fourth Spanish autonomous community in terms of population, is currently the main autonomous community led by the Socialists, through a coalition with left-wing, far-left and regional parties that could be reissued after this May 28, according to the survey .
As for Aragón and La Rioja, the survey points to a technical tie between PSOE and PP and is not conclusive about possible post-electoral alliances, so the Socialists could lose these regional governments in favor of the right.
The PP, according to the study, will stay with Murcia and Madrid, in the latter case, with the possibility of an absolute majority.
As for Cantabria, the Cantabrian Regionalist Party, which governs the region allied with the PSOE, falls to third place, while the PP will be the party with the most votes, followed by the Socialists, as it is not clear which government will be able to emerge from the elections . .
The CIS survey also confirms the disappearance of Ciudadanos (right) from the Spanish regional map, as political scientists and other analysts have said, who consider that this is one of the reasons for the inevitable growth of the PP in this year’s elections.
As for VOX, the expansion of the far-right party is confirmed, which last year entered a government in Spain for the first time, in the regional executive of Castilla y León, in alliance with the PP.
In fact, the PP won the two regional elections last year, in Castilla y León and Andalucía, where it obtained an absolute majority.
As for the municipalities, Thursday’s survey has studies relating to large cities and maintains Barcelona, Seville and Valencia, where analysts say there are more intense “battles”, in the hands of the parties that currently govern them (the PSOE in Seville, and other left and regional forces in Valencia and Barcelona).
In Madrid, the polls give the victory to the PP, but without an absolute majority and with the possibility that a left-wing alliance dismisses the city government by the right.
The CIS is a public body that periodically carries out voting intention surveys which, unlike those published by private media, have given the PSOE an advantage in studies carried out with the national legislative elections in mind, such as those scheduled in Spain for December.
Most of the polls have given the PP an advantage, but they are not conclusive in terms of majorities resulting from left-right alliances, and analysts conclude that, once again, the key to governability in Spain may end up in the hands of parties regional scope. level, such as the Catalan and Basque separatists who made the current Spanish government viable, headed by the socialist Pedro Sánchez.
One of those parties is EH Bildu, which has sent lists to the municipalities of the Basque Country of former members of the terrorist organization ETA, some of whom have been sentenced, including for murder.
The PSOE has already said that they are lists that it does not like, but has stated that it refuses to use ETA as a political weapon.
The PP defended that on May 28 the alliance of the PSOE with parties like EH Bildu will also go to the polls.
Source: TSF
