A platform that brings together all the big names of the New Popular Front. From Manuel Bompard to Olivier Faure, passing through Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier and the candidate of the Union of the Left of Matignon, Lucie Castets, all their representatives threaten the Prime Minister with overthrowing him in the coming weeks.
“If Michel Barnier imposes his budget by 49.3, our parliamentary groups will present a motion of censure,” reads a column in Le Monde, published this Thursday, November 21.
A 49.3 without much suspense
Matigon’s tenant once again raised the possibility of activating this institutional cartridge that allows a text to be adopted without a vote, in the columns of Western France last week.
It must be said that, in a context of relative majority, Michel Barnier has no other option than to achieve approval of the state budget for 2025. Considerably modified by the left that took advantage of the debates to increase Taxes linked to the wealth of billionaires. and taxes on superprofits, the finance bill was rejected by deputies on November 12.
There is no doubt that the right and the macro-granddaughter will support a budget “compatible with the PFN” as the left describes it. It is now up to the Senate, which is currently studying it in committee, to adapt it more to the wishes of Michel Barnier before the debates in the joint committee.
The left refuses to vote for an “unfair and irresponsible” budget
This parliamentary body aims to find a common version of the budget that will then return to the hemicycle around December 15. On paper, it is then up to the deputies to decide at second reading.
In their forum, the left-wing tenors already warned in their platform: “we refuse” to “accept the injustice and irresponsibility of the budget proposed by Michel Barnier.”
“We will not accept that the purchasing power of the French is reduced even further. It is a red line,” Marine Le Pen launched this Wednesday on RTL.
A very possible Barnier reversal
If the votes of the RN deputies and the left-wing deputies were added to vote against the budget, then it would be rejected. A catastrophe for Michel Barnier, who would face a case unprecedented since the Fifth Republic. Enough to push him to draw the 49.3 upstream.
But this possibility at the same time opens the way to the presentation of a motion of censure. Once again, the president of the RN deputies stated that she would “vote for censure” if “the purchasing power of the French was reduced even further.”
Enough to make the overthrow of Michel Barnier’s government completely credible. To achieve this, we must gather 289 votes, the support of half of the forces in the chamber. The left and its 193 deputies, as well as Marine Le Pen and its 126 deputies, gathered 320 votes, more than enough to bring down the Prime Minister.
A meeting on Monday to avoid the motion of censure
Eager to relieve pressure, the head of government receives all parliamentary groups on Monday in Matignon. Enough to defeat this future motion of censure?
More than the fate of Michel Barnier himself, it is rather the unprecedented political situation that would be created that could push back part of the opposition. Immeasurable difficulties in finding a successor to the Prime Minister, legislative elections that could not be organized before the summer…
The country could enter an inextricable political situation. On the left, some hope, like François Ruffin, that the atmosphere will prompt Emmanuel Macron to resign.
Source: BFM TV
