Lower the pressure. After the first consultations carried out by Michel Barnier this Monday, November 25, to avoid a motion of censure that would overthrow him, the president of the Assembly, Yaël Braun-Pivet, tries to trivialize the situation.
“If the motion of censure is approved, no catastrophe, no American closure will be announced (when the State is financially incapacitated due to lack of political agreement, we have the mechanisms to deal with this,” the tenant defended himself). Le Perchoir this Tuesday on radio Sud.
Braun-Pivet away from Retailleau’s catastrophic tone
The head of the Bourbon Palace clearly distances herself from several members of the government, starting with the Minister of the Interior, Bruno Retailleau, who fears that government censorship “will push France into the abyss.”
Michel Barnier should score 49.3 on December 18, when the 2025 budget returns to the Assembly. This institutional cartridge has the advantage of allowing the finance bill to be adopted without a vote, but allows the opposition to present a motion of censure.
It currently has the support of Marine Le Pen and the entire New Popular Front, much more than the 289 votes needed. Consequence: the Prime Minister could be overthrown.
Bruno Retailleau’s concern about the fall of the Government is also shared by Maud Bregeon. In the columns of Le Parisien this Sunday, the Government spokesperson threatened a “Greek scenario” in the event of the overthrow of Michel Barnier.
Concern about “political instability”
The situation between Greece in 2008 and France in 2024, however, has nothing to do with each other, from the size of the Greek deficit to the difficulties of raising taxes for the Athenian government, including the European context.
More than the rejection of the budget itself, which could be put into effect by orders permitted by the Constitution, it is rather the political consequences of Michel Barnier’s departure that worry Yaël Braun-Pivet.
“Voting a motion of censure would generate political instability that should worry everyone,” believes the president of the National Assembly.
In this scenario, Emmanuel Macron would have several cards on the table: he could, for example, reappoint Michel Barnier after his resignation, an option possible from a constitutional point of view but politically delicate.
The head of state could still open a new round of consultations to find a successor, with no guarantee of reaching a name that widely unites. The last option that La France insoumise and Marine Le Pen are seriously considering: a possible resignation of Emmanuel Macron.
Source: BFM TV
