The idea of a new solution is arriving in France, while Prime Minister François Bayrou will request a vote of confidence in the National Assembly on September 8. This trust cannot be obtained, while several parts have already announced that they would vote.
In the case of the dissolution of the National Assembly and, therefore, the new legislative elections, the national demonstration and its allies would largely come to the head with 31 to 31.5 % of the voting intentions, according to an Elabe survey for BFMTV and the Tribune on Sunday, published this Saturday, August 30.
During the first round of the 2024 legislative elections, the RN and its allies, therefore, the correct candidates backed by Iric Ciotti, obtained 33.22% of the votes.
23.5% for a united left
Actually, between the first round of the legislative elections of 2024 and these voting intentions in case of dissolution, the classification of the parties or the alliance remains the same: they are the percentages that diverge.
In the case of a United Left (France Rebelde, the Socialist Party, the Environmentalists and the Communist Party), this alliance would be second with 23.5%. In case of disunity, the PS/EELV/PCF alliance (16.5%) would be ahead of LFI (10%).
Keep in mind that “50% of NFP voters would choose a PS/EELV/PCF alliance, while 32% would choose LFI.”
In the third position of the voting intentions (13.5 to 14%), we would find together, the Renaissance, Modem and Horizons alliance. Finally, with 10.5 % of the voting intentions, the Republicans would be placed in fourth place.
Significant increase in voting intentions to reconquer
Significant differences are observed in the results between 2024 and the potential elections for the same parties. For example, together they won more than 20% of the votes in 2024 when this alliance would obtain 14%. On the contrary, Eric Zemmour’s reconquest party, which had obtained 0.75 % in 2024 could, this time, between 4.5 and 5 %.
Finally, in the case of a new solution, 53% of the French believe that they should not stop in the national demonstration, against the 46% who think that.
Source: BFM TV
